risks buying off-plan phuketPhuket property 2026Thailand real estate

Off-Plan Risks in Phuket: 2026 Buyer Guide

Main risks: developer delays (add 6-12 months buffer), project changes, insolvency. Mitigate with EIA permit check and track record. Guide by MORE Group.

Off-Plan Risks in Phuket: 2026 Buyer Guide

What Are the Risks of Buying Off-Plan in Phuket?

The main risks are construction delays (6-12 months beyond scheduled completion is common), unilateral changes to project specifications, and in rare cases developer insolvency. Market collapse is not a significant risk, Phuket’s tourism-backed fundamentals are structurally sound. Mitigation is straightforward: verify the EIA permit, check the developer’s completed project track record, and have a lawyer review the SPA for strong delay penalty and termination clauses.

Risk 1: Construction Delays (Most Common)

Probability: High, 40-60% of projects experience some delay Typical delay: 6-12 months Longer delays: 12-24 months, possible but less common Complete stall: Rare, under 5% of projects

Why delays happen:

  • Regulatory approvals (building permits, EIA amendments) take longer than planned
  • Construction labour shortages (particularly skilled workers)
  • Material supply chain disruptions
  • Financing issues causing developer to pace construction slowly
  • Design changes mid-construction

How to manage this risk:

  • Add 6-12 months to any developer’s stated completion date in your planning
  • Ensure the SPA includes a penalty clause for delays (standard is 0.01%/day of purchase price, capped at 10%)
  • Confirm the SPA gives you the right to terminate and receive a full refund if the delay exceeds a defined threshold (typically 12-24 months)

Risk 2: Project Specification Changes

Common changes buyers encounter:

  • Cheaper finishing materials than specified (tiles, kitchen, fixtures)
  • Reduced amenity scope (pool size, gym equipment, landscaping)
  • Layout modifications (particularly in early-phase projects)
  • View obstruction from later phases of the same or adjacent development

How to manage this risk:

  • SPA should reference a detailed specification schedule, not just “as per brochure”
  • Review the SPA’s material change clause, you should have the right to terminate if changes are material
  • For hotel-pool projects, confirm in writing that the amenity specification is binding
  • If possible, visit the project at 70%+ completion stage before making large milestone payments

Risk 3: Developer Insolvency

Probability: Low, approximately 2-5% of active projects Impact: Very high, potential total loss of payments made

Warning signs to watch for:

  • Developer has only one project (no diversification of revenue)
  • No evidence of construction financing (reputable developers use bank construction loans or pre-sales as working capital)
  • Unusually low launch prices that don’t reflect real construction costs
  • No EIA permit in place (developer cannot legally build without it)
  • No previous completed projects

How to manage this risk:

  • Only buy from developers with at least 2-3 previously completed projects
  • Verify the developer’s company registration and financial status with a Thai lawyer
  • Ask whether buyer payments are held in escrow (some premium developers do this)
  • Avoid single-project developers or those who cannot provide references from previous buyers

Risk 4: Foreign Quota Misrepresentation

Scenarios:

  • Developer claims foreign quota is available but the building is already over 49% foreign-owned
  • Unit is sold as foreign quota but documented as Thai quota (meaning you cannot take freehold ownership)
  • Foreign quota sold multiple times in administrative errors

How to manage this risk:

  • Instruct your Thai property lawyer to verify quota status directly at the Land Office before SPA signing
  • Never rely on a developer’s verbal or even written assurance without Land Office confirmation
  • If the foreign quota is not available, walk away, do not accept Thai quota as a substitute for freehold ownership

Risk 5: Market and Currency Risk

Market risk: If the Phuket property market declines during your construction period (2-4 years), your unit could be worth less at handover than you paid at launch. This has not happened over any 3-year period in Phuket’s recent history, but it is theoretically possible.

Currency risk: If you earn in GBP or EUR and THB appreciates significantly, your net returns in home currency shrink. USD buyers face less currency risk as THB-USD correlation is tighter.

Mitigation: Accept these as standard investment risks. Diversification, realistic holding periods and strong initial deal selection minimise their impact.

Risk-Adjusted Case for Off-Plan

  • 25-40% capital appreciation during construction in successful projects
  • Lower entry price vs. completed units (developers price for risk-sharing)
  • Payment staging allows capital to compound in your home market during construction

The key is not avoiding off-plan, it’s applying rigorous selection criteria to choose the right developer.

What This Means for Buyers?

  1. Developer has completed at least 2-3 previous projects
  2. EIA permit is in place before payment
  3. SPA includes delay penalties and termination rights reviewed by an independent lawyer

MORE Group only recommends developers who meet strict credibility criteria. We provide independent risk assessments for every project we present.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Very common, 40-60% of projects experience some delay. A 6-12 month buffer beyond the developer's stated completion date is standard planning practice for experienced Phuket buyers.

In insolvency, buyers are unsecured creditors and may lose payments made. This is why developer selection is critical, only buy from developers with completed project track records and strong financial backing.

An Environmental Impact Assessment permit is required by Thai law before construction begins. If the EIA is not in place, the developer cannot legally build, making your purchase highly risky. Always verify EIA status before paying.

Yes, absolutely. A standard penalty of 0.01% of purchase price per day (capped at 10%) is normal. If the SPA has no delay penalty, your lawyer should negotiate one or you should walk away.

If the SPA includes termination rights for developer default, yes. Without this clause, recovery depends on litigation, which is slower and uncertain. This is why SPA review by an independent lawyer is non-negotiable.

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Maksim Shchegolev

Maksim Shchegolev

Founder, MORE Group

Founder of MORE Group. Four years in investment banking before moving to Phuket, where he has worked in the local property market since 2018. Oversees developer relationships and every engagement above $300K.

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