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What Is a Good ROI on Phuket Property in 2026? Realistic Numbers

What counts as a good ROI on Phuket property in 2026: gross yield 6–10%, net yield 4–7%, capital appreciation 5–8% annually. How to calculate real returns and what developers promise vs reality.

· 6 min read · By MORE Group Editorial
What Is a Good ROI on Phuket Property in 2026? Realistic Numbers

A good net ROI on Phuket property in 2026 is 5–7% annually from rental income, with an additional 5–8% capital appreciation in prime zones — giving a total combined return potential of 10–15% per year for well-selected projects. Gross yields of 6–10% are commonly advertised; after management fees, maintenance, and taxes, net yield drops to 4–7%. Understanding the difference between gross and net is the most important number-literacy skill for any Phuket investor.

Gross Yield vs Net Yield: The Number That Actually Matters

Every developer in Phuket will show you gross yield projections. Net yield is what you actually receive.

Gross yield calculation: Annual gross rental income ÷ Purchase price × 100

Example: Unit costs 5,000,000 Baht. Generates 400,000 Baht gross annual rent (33,333 Baht/month). Gross yield = 8%.

Net yield calculation: (Annual gross rental income − All expenses) ÷ Purchase price × 100

What gets deducted from gross yield:

ExpenseTypical Range
Management company fee20–30% of gross rent
Annual maintenance/sinking fund0.5–1% of property value
Juristic office common area fees3,000–8,000 Baht/month
Vacancy allowance10–25% of potential income
Repairs and refurbishment1–2% of property value/year
Thai personal income tax on rental5–35% of net income (after expenses)

Real-world calculation:

  • Gross rent: 400,000 Baht/year
  • Management fee (25%): −100,000 Baht
  • Maintenance and common fees: −60,000 Baht
  • Vacancy (15%): −60,000 Baht
  • Repairs: −30,000 Baht
  • Net before tax: 150,000 Baht
  • Net yield: 150,000 ÷ 5,000,000 = 3%

This is why developers advertise 8% gross and you should mentally translate to “approximately 3–5% net.” The gap is real and predictable.

What separates good from poor performing units:

  • Location within the building (sea view vs garden view can mean 20–30% more rental income)
  • Building reputation and management quality
  • Unit size relative to market demand (studios and 1-beds typically outperform 2-beds on yield)
  • Platform presence and review scores

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Capital Appreciation: The Other Half of Returns

Net rental yield alone rarely tells the full return story in Phuket. Capital appreciation — the increase in property value over time — is the other major component.

Historical appreciation rates in Phuket:

Prime beachside zones (Bangtao, Surin, Kamala, Rawai beachfront): 5–8% annual appreciation has been documented over the past decade for well-located condos. Some exceptional periods and locations have seen 10–15% annual increases.

Secondary zones (Patong, Phuket Town adjacent, inland areas): 2–4% annual appreciation in stable periods. More volatile and dependent on development activity in the specific area.

Off-plan appreciation: Buying pre-construction at developer launch prices and selling at or near completion is a distinct strategy. Investors who entered early-stage projects in 2020–2022 saw 20–40% gains by 2024–2025 on paper. This strategy carries more risk (development risk, no rental income during construction) but higher potential returns.

What drives Phuket appreciation:

  • Continued strong tourism demand (over 10 million annual visitors)
  • Limited beachfront land supply — Phuket is an island
  • Infrastructure investment (airport expansion, high-speed rail proposals)
  • Regional demand from China, Russia, India, and Middle East buyers
  • Weak Baht making Thai assets attractive to dollar-denominated buyers

Guaranteed Return Schemes: Reality Check

Many Phuket developers offer “guaranteed returns” — typically 5–8% for 2–5 years, sometimes higher. This is one of the most misunderstood aspects of Phuket property investment.

What a guaranteed return actually is:

The developer promises to pay you X% of your purchase price per year regardless of actual occupancy. They are essentially lending you rental income using your own purchase funds — the guarantee is funded by higher unit prices and the assumption that actual rental income will cover the guarantee.

When guaranteed returns work:

  • Developer is financially strong and has sufficient reserves
  • The guarantee is contractually documented in the SPA (not just a marketing promise)
  • The project has strong actual occupancy to support the scheme after the guarantee period ends
  • You understand what happens after the guarantee expires

When guaranteed returns become problems:

  • Developer priced units above market to fund the guarantee — you paid for the income you’re receiving
  • After guarantee period, actual occupancy doesn’t support the promised rate
  • Developer financial difficulties mean guarantee payments stop
  • Guarantee is in marketing materials but not in the SPA — legally unenforceable

Red flag: Any guarantee above 8% annually for more than 3 years should be scrutinized heavily. The economics rarely support sustained high guarantees without the developer either losing money or having inflated the purchase price significantly.

Our recommendation: Evaluate projects on realistic projected net yields (3–6%) from actual rental demand, not guarantee rates. Treat a legitimate short-term guarantee as a bonus, not the primary investment thesis.

How to Compare Projects Properly

When evaluating two Phuket projects, use a consistent comparison framework:

Step 1: Normalize to price per sqm A 35-sqm studio at 3,500,000 Baht and a 50-sqm one-bed at 5,000,000 Baht both cost 100,000 Baht/sqm. Compare like with like.

Step 2: Verify comparable rental rates Check Airbnb and Booking.com for actual listed rates of comparable units in the same building or same zone. Multiply by realistic occupancy (60–70% annually) to get realistic gross rent.

Step 3: Apply standard cost deductions Use management fee of 25%, maintenance of 1% of value, common fees at actual building rates, and 15% vacancy assumption. Calculate net yield.

Step 4: Add appreciation assumption Use conservative 5% annually for prime locations, 3% for secondary. Over 5 years, compound this with your net yield.

Step 5: Compare total return Project A: 5% net yield + 5% appreciation = 10% total. Project B: 4% net yield + 7% appreciation = 11% total. The higher-appreciation project may be the better investment even with lower yield.

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Realistic 5-Year Total Return Scenario

Using conservative but defensible assumptions for a prime Phuket condo:

Investment: 5,000,000 Baht (approximately 138,000 USD at 2026 rates)

Annual net rental yield: 5% = 250,000 Baht/year

Annual appreciation: 6% = 300,000 Baht/year (on initial value, compounded)

5-year net rental income: 1,250,000 Baht

5-year appreciation: Property value rises from 5,000,000 to approximately 6,690,000 Baht (compounded 6%)

5-year total gross return: 1,250,000 + 1,690,000 = 2,940,000 Baht on 5,000,000 invested

Total return: approximately 59% over 5 years, or about 9.7% annually

This is a realistic, achievable scenario for well-selected properties in prime Phuket zones. It assumes no leverage (cash purchase). Adding a modest construction-period loan would increase the return on equity — but introduces financing risk and costs.

What Makes Phuket Returns Competitive Globally

For context, comparable beach resort markets globally:

  • Bali (Indonesia): similar yields, more complex foreign ownership
  • Koh Samui: lower liquidity, similar yields
  • Portuguese Algarve: yields of 3–5% with lower appreciation potential
  • Dubai Marina: yields of 5–7%, strong appreciation but different risk profile
  • Spanish Costa del Sol: yields of 3–5%, lower appreciation in non-prime areas

Phuket’s combination of strong tourism infrastructure, improving accessibility, freehold condo ownership for foreigners, no capital gains tax, and competitive entry prices makes it one of the stronger risk-adjusted return markets in the Asia-Pacific region.

Frequently Asked Questions

A realistic net yield after management fees (20–30%), maintenance, common area fees, vacancy, and repairs is 3–6% annually. Developers advertise gross yields of 6–10% — always calculate net by deducting real costs. Prime locations with strong management and high occupancy can achieve the upper end of the net range.

Guaranteed returns of 5–7% for 2–3 years from financially strong developers are generally honored. However, the guarantee is often funded by higher purchase prices, and post-guarantee occupancy may not sustain the same income level. Always verify: the guarantee is in your SPA (not just marketing), the developer's financial track record, and what projections show after the guarantee period ends.

Prime beachside zones (Bangtao, Surin, Kamala, Rawai) have historically appreciated 5–8% annually over the past decade. Secondary zones typically see 2–4% appreciation. Off-plan projects can offer higher appreciation if you buy at launch and sell near completion, but carry development risk during the holding period.

Take realistic gross rental income (based on actual Airbnb/Booking.com rates × realistic occupancy of 60–70%), subtract management fee (20–30%), maintenance (1% of value), common fees, and vacancy allowance (15%). Divide net income by purchase price for net yield. Add conservative appreciation (5% annually for prime zones) for total annual return.

Bangtao and Surin consistently show the strongest combination of rental yield and appreciation due to their beach access, luxury resort proximity, and high tourist demand. Kata and Rawai offer strong yields with slightly lower appreciation. Patong yields can be high due to volume, but the market is more volatile and appreciation has historically been lower.

MORE Group Editorial

MORE Group Editorial

Phuket Real Estate Experts

The MORE Group team has helped 500+ European and American buyers purchase property in Thailand. We provide legal support, 0% commission, and on-the-ground expertise with 8 years in the Phuket market.

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